Breeders' Cup 2024: Expert Picks, Predictions & Betting Tips

Breeders' Cup 2024 - Del Mar

1. Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)

  • Top Contenders: Highland Falls, Pyrenees, and City of Troy are anticipated to be strong contenders. Highland Falls, following his win in the Jockey Club Gold Cup, is the favorite. Pyrenees is a notable underdog, showing consistent form and potential for an upset.
  • Betting Strategy: Consider exactas and trifectas with Highland Falls for consistency and Pyrenees for added value, particularly if he maintains his current form.

2. Breeders' Cup Turf (G1)

  • Top Contenders: Rebel’s Romance leads the field, with Jayarebe from the European circuit adding value for bettors looking to diversify.
  • Betting Strategy: European horses dominate this race historically. Rebel’s Romance offers a safe choice, while Jayarebe provides a solid value pick for exotic wagers.

3. Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1)

  • Top Contenders: Derma Sotogake and National Treasure are expected to perform well, with National Treasure boasting several Grade 1 victories and Derma Sotogake bringing experience from the Middle East circuit.
  • Betting Strategy: A blend of favorites and long shots could maximize returns. National Treasure serves as a top pick, but Derma Sotogake could add significant value in exotic bets

4. Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1)

  • Top Contenders: U.S.-based In Italian competes against European stars Warm Heart and Above the Curve. With strong turf performances, Warm Heart is a formidable contender.
  • Betting Strategy: European dominance on turf races suggests Warm Heart and Above the Curve are excellent picks to pair with In Italian in exactas or trifectas

General Betting Strategy

  • Mix Favorites and Long Shots: Combining reliable horses like Highland Falls with high-potential underdogs such as Pyrenees can balance risk and reward.
  • Focus on Turf Races: European horses excel on turf; prioritize them in races like the Breeders' Cup Turf and Filly & Mare Turf.

Breeders' Cup Fun Facts

  • Biggest Upset: In 1993, Arcangues shocked everyone by winning the Classic at 133-1 odds, the biggest longshot in Breeders' Cup history.
  • The International Advantage: In the Breeders' Cup Turf races, European horses have historically been dominant, winning over 70% of the time!

Final Thoughts

Throughout its history, the Breeders' Cup has delivered unforgettable moments. From Zenyatta's dramatic 2009 Classic win, becoming the first mare to defeat males in the race, to Goldikova's unprecedented three consecutive victories in the Breeders' Cup Mile (2008–2010), these champions have etched their names into racing lore. American Pharoah capped his legendary career by winning the 2015 Classic, becoming the first horse to secure the "Grand Slam" of Thoroughbred racing.

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